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Posts archive for: 22 March, 2006
  • Tailor's bag that put West on trail of Iran's nuclear secrets

    By Anton La Guardia, Diplomatic Editor

    The Daily Telegraph - Nuclear inspectors have established a link between Iranian nuclear documents and the blueprint for a warhead bought by Libya on the black market. The discovery increases suspicions that Teheran is trying to build atomic weapons under the cloak of its "civil" nuclear programme.

    As Iran faces the threat of United Nations sanctions, questions are growing about whether it has made the jump from enriching uranium to designing an actual weapon.

    The new evidence on "weaponisation" has built up from several sources. They include the latest US intelligence, a surprising error by Iranian officials and the discovery in Libya of an atomic bomb manual stuffed in two plastic bags incongruously marked "Good Looks Tailor".

    A key piece of evidence is a 15-page document setting out how to make enriched uranium hemispheres - the core of an atomic bomb - found by the International Atomic Energy Agency last October among hundreds of papers handed over by Iran.

    Several diplomatic sources said the paper was only a general outline but was "similar" to the full blueprint for a Chinese-designed bomb sold to Libya by the disgraced Pakistani nuclear scientist, A Q Khan. "They are part of the same recipe," said one well-placed source.

    Libya surrendered the weapons design to officials from America, Britain and the IAEA in January 2004, as part of its agreement to give up its weapons of mass destruction in return for rehabilitation in the West.

    "The Libyans gave us two plastic bags marked with 'Good Looks' and the address and the name of a tailor in Pakistan. Inside them were the designs for nuclear weapons," recalled one participant, "It was bizarre. I still can't believe it."

    Good Looks Fabrics and Tailors in Islamabad caters to members of Pakistani high society, including A Q Khan.

    At first, the owner, Salahuddin Khan, said he was in shock at the discovery. But yesterday he said he had benefited from the unexpected attention: "It was a great thing. I am thankful to God for the publicity."

    A Q Khan is hailed as the father of Pakistan's nuclear weapons programme. The question now is whether Iran bought the same blueprint for a nuclear warhead as Libya.

    Iran says its nuclear enrichment programme, which was restarted defiantly in recent months, is only meant to produce nuclear fuel. But the West fears it will seek to make fissile material for bombs. The "hemispheres" document is arguably the closest the IAEA has come to a "smoking gun".

    Iran refused to allow inspectors to take it away or photocopy it. Eventually, Teheran agreed to allow the IAEA to study it, copy its contents by hand and place it under an IAEA seal.

    "We can't figure out why Iran would have given this document to the inspectors. They probably just made a mistake and did not realise it was there," said one western source.

    Iran claims it did not ask for the document but it was provided free by A Q Khan's nuclear black marketeers along with the enrichment technology in 1987.

    Ali Asghar Soltanieh, Iran's ambassador to the IAEA, shrugged off the issue, saying: "I have seen the document. Of the 15 pages, only one-and-a-half deal with hemispheres in a general, non-technical manner. We have never used it."

    The IAEA appears to give credence to the evidence provided by US intelligence from a captured Iranian laptop.

    Western security sources say this gave details of what appear to be attempts to redesign Iran's Shehab 3 missiles to carry a nuclear warhead, albeit not the same device as the "Good Looks" blueprint.

    Iran has dismissed the laptop documents as forgeries.

  • Who Will Challenge Iran?

    The Los Angeles Times
    David L. Bosco

    The radioactive question of Iran's nuclear program has now landed in the lap of the United Nations Security Council. Which is downright odd because, according to many learned observers, the Security Council's authority all but vanished when the United States and Britain bypassed it to invade Iraq in 2003. Or when the NATO countries ignored it and bombed Serbia in 1999. Or, if you prefer, when it stood by as genocide consumed Bosnia and Rwanda in the early 1990s.

    In fact, the Security Council — keystone of the U.N.'s collective security system — has had a lackluster record of international crisis management since it was created after World War II. Conceived by Franklin Roosevelt, Josef Stalin and Winston Churchill as the world's police force, the Security Council has vast legal powers. Quite literally, it has the authority to run the world. As long as it declares a threat to international peace and security, it can fight wars, impose blockades, unseat governments and redraw borders.

    Yet its five permanent members — the United States, Britain, France, Russia and China — have only occasionally deployed those powers effectively.

    For most of the Cold War, the Security Council was a forum for meaningless resolutions and mediocre rhetoric. Its most famous moments were fiery clashes between American and Soviet diplomats. "I'm prepared to wait for my answer until hell freezes over!" thundered U.S. Ambassador Adlai Stevenson as he brandished photos of Soviet missile sites in Cuba. It made for great television (and many of the early Security Council debates were televised). But the Soviet Union's veto meant that the council couldn't actually do anything about the missiles.

    In the 1970s and 1980s, rabid anti-Israel sentiment stoked by the Soviet Union often turned the council into a repulsive inquisition, in which Arab countries and their allies made outlandish accusations against Israel and the United States. At one meeting in 1982, the representative from Djibouti said that the behavior of Israeli soldiers "reminded us of the sadistic bouts of laughter and amusement of the Nazi Germans." Israel's ambassador, a Holocaust survivor, listened in disbelief.

    The Security Council has used its powers well in only a few cases since its birth in 1946. At the start of the Korean War, an ill-advised Soviet walkout allowed the remaining members to authorize a U.S.-led multinational force to come to South Korea's rescue. But the Soviets eventually returned — and so did paralysis.

    The council's finest moment was probably the Persian Gulf War, when the United States helped build a coalition to evict Iraq from Kuwait. But these moments have been the exceptions. Division and inaction have been the norm. If the council were applying for the job of running the world, it wouldn't get a second look.

    And yet it never disappears. The rhetoric and polling data in the run-up to the Iraq war suggest that many people around the world — and particularly in Europe — see Security Council approval as a prerequisite to military action. In Britain, for instance, support for the 2003 Iraq invasion jumped when respondents were asked to assume that the council had blessed the mission. Even in the United States, traditionally more skeptical of the United Nations, a CNN poll found that the percentage of Americans who supported an invasion of Iraq doubled if the council approved.

    Now the Bush administration has decided that the Security Council is the place to make a stand against Iran's nuclear ambitions. Tehran's pattern of deception and alarming rhetoric prompted the International Atomic Energy Agency, the international nuclear watchdog, to refer the case to the council, which began meeting on the issue this week. This is all to the good. When the world's five largest nuclear powers speak as one, even governments that would prefer to flout the international community tend to listen. The Security Council can also herd the great powers into agreement and prevent them from sending mixed messages.

    But if the members cannot agree, or only utter platitudes, the council becomes a brake on effective action. As the Rwandan genocide unfolded in 1994, the council met almost continuously and poured forth statements decrying the violence. The slaughter continued, however, and members hid behind the council's inaction. The crisis in Darfur, unfortunately, has been much the same. With the death toll mounting, the council has inched painfully toward replacing an ineffective African peacekeeping force with a more robust version.

    Iran may well be next on the inaction list. China and Russia strongly oppose sanctions. Last week, they even prevented passage of a statement that would have admonished Iran to cooperate with the international nuclear inspectors. "We want a constructive statement," China's ambassador, Wang Guangya, said, adding that the Western countries "want to be too tough." If Iran continues its defiance and China and Russia refuse to endorse tough action, the council's utility will end. The Bush administration, with whatever allies it can muster, would then presumably form an ad hoc coalition to try to tackle Tehran through sanctions or, as a last resort, military force. And that would be the right move.

    However, not everyone agrees that such ad hoc coalitions can bypass the Security Council at will. Those inclined to a legalistic view of international relations — notably Europe and the American left — see the council as much more than a useful diplomatic tool. For them, it is a critical check on the anarchy of international relations. Any coercive steps against Iran must, they insist, receive the council's imprimatur. Without it, coercion is illegal and illegitimate.

    As a matter of international law, this view is probably correct. But viewing the council as a species of world government ignores one overriding reality: The Security Council was created by power politics, and it remains an instrument of those politics. The only reason the United States, Britain, Russia and China have permanent seats is because they won World War II. (France was granted a seat in recognition of its past prominence — a gift that many U.S. administrations have no doubt wished they could take back.)

    Fairness has little to do with who sits at the table. The 10 rotating members on the 15-member council are chosen for two-year terms by region, not merit. Indeed, Rwanda sat on the council while it perpetrated the genocide. Judged purely on performance, the council hasn't earned legitimacy.

    If the U.S. and other Western powers decide to bypass the council, the internationalists will accuse them of undermining international law and order. Policymakers should tune them out. The world remains chaotic enough that the substance of international security must still trump procedure. A blissfully united council means little if rogue regimes acquire nuclear weapons.

    There's another reason to ignore the purists: They will certainly exaggerate the danger of the council's demise. It will survive the Iran crisis just as it weathered the Iraq war and decades of irrelevance during the Cold War. And if the great powers once again see their interests align, the Security Council will still be there, ready to serve.

    David L. Bosco, DAVID L. BOSCO is senior editor at Foreign Policy magazine.

  • Amed, the capital of Kurdistan celebrates Newroz

    KurdishMedia.com

    New York 22 March 2006: In the capital of greater Kurdistan, Amed (Diyarbakir), hundreds of thousands gathered yesterday for what is annually the world’s largest Newroz celebration. Approximately one million people were expected to attend this year’s festival, and it appears that this may well have occurred.

    Slight rain during the day did not dampen the mood of the people, as once again the Kurdish New Year and National Day became a celebration of Kurdistan and its people in a country where restrictions on Kurdish culture remain. Thousands of flags of the pro-Kurdish Democratic Society Party (DTP) were waved by those in attendance, in addition to many flags used by the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) to represent the confederation program as well as Kurdistan flags and posters of imprisoned PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan. A giant Kurdistan flag was displayed at one point, as well as a banner bearing the flags of Turkey, the Kurdistan confederation, and the European Union.

    Musicians playing included Koma Sevin from Mahabad, Koma Azad from Amed, Koma Car Newa from Europe, and Ilkay Akkaya and Edip Akbayram from Istanbul. Iraqi President and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) Secretary General Jalal Talabani sent a letter to Amed Mayor Osman Baydemir thanking him for the invitation to the festival, stating that “political work” prevents him from attending the event but he hopes to come to Amed in the future. The Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) also sent a letter to the mayor for Newroz, and many guests from Iraqi Kurdistan were present for the festivities, as well as members of the European Parliament. A number of Turkish and European journalists also attended the celebration.

  • Over a million Kurds participated in Newroz in West Kurdistan

    KurdishMedia.com

    Over a million Kurds of West Kurdistan (Syria) took part in the demonstration to mark the anniversary of the Kurdish New Year Newroz, reported by different local sources. Some sources put the figure to 1.3 million.

    The Kurdish people demonstrated in Allapo, Kobani, Qamishlo and other Kurdish cities and towns. Perhaps the sizable demonstration was in Allapo, where an estimated half a million Kurds participated. In the capital, Damascus some 300,000 Kurds took part.

    The demonstrators clashed with the police in some areas and many were arrested, the sources reported.

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